Includes bibliographical references and indexes.

Ch. 1. A Theory of Hypothetical Thinking / Jonathan St. B. T. Evans, David E. Over and Simon J. Handley -- Ch. 2. Individual Differences in the Development of Reasoning Strategies / Maxwell J. Roberts and Elizabeth J. Newton -- Ch. 3. Generalising Individual Differences and Strategies Across Different Deductive Reasoning Domains / Padraic Monaghan and Keith Stenning -- Ch. 4. Superordinate Principles, Conditions and Conditionals / Neil Fairley and Ken Manktelow -- Ch. 5. Premise Interpretation in Conditional Reasoning / Guy Politzer -- Ch. 6. Probabilities and Pragmatics in Conditional Inference: Suppression and Order Effects / Mike Oaksford and Nick Chater -- Ch. 7. Verbal Expressions of Uncertainty and Probability / Karl Halvor Teigen and Wibecke Brun -- Ch. 8. Possibilities and Probabilities / Paolo Legrenzi, Vittorio Girotto, Maria Sonino Legrenzi and Philip N. Johnson-Laird -- Ch. 9. The Partitive Conditional Probability / Laura Macchi -- Ch. 10. Naive and yet Enlightened: From Natural Frequencies to Fast and Frugal Decision Trees / Laura Martignon, Oliver Vitouch, Masanori Takezawa and Malcolm R. Forster -- Ch. 11. More is not Always Better: The Benefits of Cognitive Limits / Ralph Hertwig and Peter M. Todd -- Ch. 12. Correspondence and Coherence: Indicators of Good Judgment in World Politics / Philip E. Tetlock -- Ch. 13. Cognitive Mapping of Causal Reasoning in Strategic Decision Making / A. John Maule, Gerard P. Hodgkinson and Nicola J. Bown -- Ch. 14. Belief and Preference in Decision Under Uncertainty / Craig R. Fox and Kelly E. See -- Ch. 15. Medical Decision Scripts: Combining Cognitive Scripts and Judgment Strategies to Account Fully for Medical Decision Making / Robert M. Hamm -- Ch. 16. On the Assessment of Decision Quality: Considerations Regarding Utility, Conflict and Accountability / Gideon Keren and Wandi Bruine de Bruin.